Germany AI Electricity Price Forecasting & EPEX SPOT Analytics
QR AMPS: Advanced AI Price Forecasting for German Wholesale Power Markets
Engineered for Europe’s largest electricity market, QR AMPS adapts to EPEX SPOT Day-Ahead auctions, 15-minute continuous intraday trading, and Regelleistung frequency containment/restoration reserves (aFRR/fFRR). Built for German renewable asset managers, virtual power plant (VPP) operators, and BESS optimizers navigating heavy wind/solar penetration and cross-border commercial flows.
| Market | Data Type | Forecast Resolution | Forecast Points | Update Frequency | Forecast Horizon | Probabilistic Bands |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real-time 15-min Auction | Marginal Price | 15-min | 96 (S1,S2) 48 (S3) | Three times a day | DA (S1, S2) 12 hours (S3) | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| Real-time 15-min Continuous | Marginal Price | 15-min | 3 x 96 | Three times a day | DA | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| Real-time 30-min Continuous | Marginal Price | 30-min | 3 x 48 | Three times a day | DA | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| Real-time Hourly Continuous | Marginal Price | Hourly | 3 x 24 | Three times a day | DA | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| DAM Energy Hourly | Marginal Price | Hourly | 3 x 24 x 2 | Three times a day | 2 DA | 1-99 Percentile Bands |
| Real-time Reserve 15-min | Balancing Price | 15-min | 96 | Every 15-min | 24 Hours | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| Real-time Reserve Hourly | Balancing Price | Hourly | 24 | Every hour | 24 Hours | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| DAM Reserves aFRR | REG-UP REG-DOWN | 15-min | 3 x 96 x 2 | Three times a day | 2 DA | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
Interactive Germany Price Forecast Dashboard
Generates live German power price predictions customized across EPEX SPOT continuous intraday hubs and national clearing zones:
- Intraday Continuous & Auction Forecasts: High-resolution 15-minute, 30-minute, and hourly price projections with probabilistic confidence bands highlighting negative price risks and ramp volatility.
- Day-Ahead Auction & Reserve Forecasts: Hourly and 15-minute Day-Ahead clearing price shapes alongside aFRR/fFRR balancing price predictions rendered as P10, P50, and P90 uncertainty paths.
- Automated German Accuracy Metrics: Continuous backtesting comparing P50 AI forecasts against EPEX SPOT/SMARD published settlement prices using MAPE, MAE, RMSE, and WAPE.
- 7-Day Rolling DAM Forecast Versioning: Replay multi-day forecast revisions to analyze price convergence leading into the operating day.
- ENTSO-E & SMARD Telemetry Integration: Centralized tracking of German residual load, offshore/onshore wind generation, solar PV output, conventional plant outages, and cross-border intertie schedules.
Note: Public previews show 24-hour delayed data. Real-time access requires a registered account.