CAISO AI Price Forecasting Service
QR AMPS: Specialized AI Price Forecasting Solutions for CAISO DAM and RTD Markets
Customized for Western power grid dynamics, QR AMPS adapts to CAISO market rules, 5-minute Real-Time Dispatch (RTD), 15-Minute Market (FMM), and Day-Ahead Market (DAM) clearing. Built for California BESS optimizers, solar-plus-storage operators, and virtual traders, it delivers nodal Locational Marginal Price (LMP) signals to capture duck curve swings and maximize battery arbitrage.
| Market | Data Type | Forecast Resolution | Forecast Points | Update Frequency | Forecast Horizon | Probabilistic Bands |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real-time RTD 5-min | LMP & MCE | 5-min | 288 | Every 5-min | 24 Hours | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| Real-time FMM 15-min | LMP & MCE | 15-min | 96 | Every 15-min | 24 Hours | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| Real-time Hourly | LMP & MCE | Hourly | 24 | Every Hour | 24 Hours | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| DAM Energy | LMP & MCE | Hourly | 3 x 24 x 7 | Three times a day | 7 DA | 1-99 Percentile Bands |
| DA Spot (RTD/FMM) | LMP & MCE | Hourly | 3 x 24 | Three times a day | DA | 1-99 Percentile Bands |
| Real-time Reserves | REG-UP/REG-DOWN | 15-min | 96 | Every 15-min | 24 Hours | Low (5%), Average (50%), High (95%) |
| DAM Reserves | REG-UP/REG-DOWN | Hourly | 3 x 24 x 7 | Three times a day | 7 DA | 1-99 Percentile Bands |
Interactive CAISO Price Forecasting Dashboard
QR AMPS generates live CAISO electricity price predictions delivered via interactive web dashboards. Custom-configured for individual CAISO pricing nodes (APNodes), SP15, NP15, and ZP26 trading hubs, each dashboard features:
- Real-Time Intraday (RTD & FMM) Forecasts: High-frequency 5-minute LMP and 15-minute FMM price projections with probabilistic low, median, and high confidence bands visualized on dynamic candle charts.
- Day-Ahead Market (DAM) Forecasts: Hourly and 5-minute DAM price shapes featuring P10, P50, and P90 uncertainty bands alongside co-optimized Regulation Up/Down and Spinning Reserve forecasts.
- Automated CAISO Model KPIs: Real-time tracking benchmarking P50 AI forecasts against CAISO OASIS settlement prices using MAPE, MAE, RMSE, and Directional Win Rate metrics.
- 7-Day Rolling DAM Forecast Evolution: Video playback showing how multi-day DAM price shapes converge as delivery approaches.
- Integrated CAISO Grid Telemetry: Dual y-axis charts displaying CAISO net load, solar curtailment, wind generation, gas burn, and intertie flows alongside predicted LMPs.
Note: Public previews show 24-hour delayed data. Real-time access requires a registered account.